. 1982;32(3):339-345.
Carbon dioxide brings global warming God may have promised man He would not destroy the earth by flood, but has man promised himself that he will not destroy the earth? It is now fairly agreed by scientists that the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has increased over the last century. There is also a general consensus that the current concentration is likely to double sometime during the next century, a doubling caused mainly by the amount of fossil-fuel burning, deforestation, and firewood burning. This increased C02 brings with it a global warming known as the 'greenhouse effect', a phenomenon associated with the absorption of infra-red light by C02 so that the absorbed energy does not escape but is radiated back to warm up the earth. Recent studies indicate that carbon dioxide is causing a warming with the mean global temperature predicted to increase by 1 to 4.5 °C by the end of the next century.1 A predicted global warming of 2.5 °C would have the following consequences. First, a shift in the rainfall patterns, creating a hot, dry climate in most western and eastern African countries. Some of these areas such as the Sahel regions already have reduced rainfall. The drought experienced in these areas may become a permanent feature in the next century. Second, the West Antarctic ice-sheet is likely to melt, the ice-pack of the Arctic Ocean probably disappearing completely in summer, although possibly reappearing in winter. If the West Antarctic ice-sheet were to slide into the sea the sea-level would rise some 5 to 7 metres. Consequently, the inland water-bed levels may also rise. The shape of the African continent would change with the following countries having either part or large sections of their land flooded: Libyan Arab Jamahiriya, Egypt, Somalia, Kenya, Mozambique, Gabon, Nigeria, Benin, Togo, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Liberia, Sierra Leone, Senegal, Mauritania, Mali, Spanish Sahara and Madagascar. Finally, melting polar ice would open up the long-sought North-west Passage, the target of explorers since Verrazano.